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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 48.05% ( | 25.69% ( | 26.25% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.47% ( | 52.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( | 74.19% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( | 21.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.89% ( | 55.11% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( | 34.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( | 71.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 26.25% |