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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
45.5% ( -0.01) | 26.6% | 27.89% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.94% ( 0.01) | 55.06% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.68% ( 0.01) | 76.32% ( -0) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0) | 24.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% | 58.43% ( 0) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.07% ( 0.01) | 34.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.33% ( 0.01) | 71.67% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-1 @ 8.96% 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 8.87% 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 27.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
2 | Port Vale | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 19 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 31 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
7 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
8 | Chesterfield | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Notts County | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 28 |
10 | Gillingham | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
11 | Bradford CityBradford | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
12 | Salford City | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 24 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Bromley | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 18 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 21 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 18 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
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