EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2023 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Rodney Parade
  • Graham Coughlan 28' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 63' goal
  • Will Evans 76' goal
  • Seb Palmer-Houlden 80' goal
  • James Waite 88' yellowcard
  • Harry Charsley 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Hector 27'
  • goal Daniel Kanu 42'

Newport County vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result

Newport County 41.36% (-0.02)
Draw 24.76% (+0.01)
Charlton Athletic 33.88% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.13% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.02% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.98% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.67%
Under 3.5 67.33% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.56%
Under 4.5 83.44% (+0.01)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 78.25% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 21.75% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.07% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.93% (+0.02)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 74.29% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 25.71% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 39.36% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 60.64% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Newport County 41.37%
Draw 24.75%
Charlton Athletic 33.88%
Newport County
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 41.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.75%
Charlton Athletic
1-2 @ 7.87% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.56% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 33.88%