/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnewlog.png)
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Mickey Demetriou
8'
-
Mickey Demetriou
57'
-
Chris Long
66'
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Elliott Nevitt
71'
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Will Evans
21'
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Harry Charsley
75'
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Matthew Bondswell
83'
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James Waite
90'+3'
Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result
Crewe Alexandra
31.91%
▼
(-0.03)
Draw
26.21%
▲
(+0.07)
Newport County
41.89%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
52.63%
▼
(-0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.18%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 2.5
51.82%
▲
(+0.27)
Over 3.5
26.42%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 3.5
73.58%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 4.5
12.27%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
87.73%
▲
(+0.15)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5
69.69%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
30.31%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
33.51%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
66.49%
▲
(+0.18)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5
75.51%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
24.48%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 1.5
41.06%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 1.5
58.93%
▲
(+0.19)
Score analysis
Crewe Alexandra
31.91%
Draw
26.2%
Newport County
41.88%
Crewe Alexandra
1-0
@
8.86%
▲
(+0.06)
2-1 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.91%
2-1 @ 7.44% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.91%
Draw
1-1
@
12.46%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.2%
0-0 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 26.2%
Newport County
0-1
@
10.44%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.88%
1-2 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 41.88%