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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 49.82% ( | 25.1% ( | 25.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( | 51.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( | 72.92% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( | 20.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( | 53% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.9% ( | 35.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.15% ( | 71.85% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 5% ( 3-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.82% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 25.07% |