Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crewe Alexandra

Swindon
2 - 2
Crewe

Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
49.82% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)25.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 51.59% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)51.06% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.08% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.92% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.9% (0.0010000000000048 0)35.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.15% (0.00099999999999767 0)71.85%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.82%
    Crewe Alexandra 25.07%
    Draw 25.1%
Swindon TownDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.04%
3-1 @ 5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 49.82%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 25.07%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
Dec 1, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
4-2
Swindon
Powell (39'), Ng (54'), Lowery (63'), Dale (66')
Grant (20'), Smith (38')
Broadbent (68')