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EFL Cup

Peterborough United
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Swindon Town

Peterborough
2 - 1
Swindon

Randall (7')
Kyprianou (41')
FT
(aet)
Hepburn-Murphy (49')
Blake-Tracy (45+2')
Peterborough win 4-1 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Peterborough United and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Plymouth
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawSwindon Town
49% (0.024999999999999 0.02)23.82% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)27.18% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.66% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.05% (0.041999999999994 0.04)43.94% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.67% (0.039999999999999 0.04)66.33% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94% (0.027000000000001 0.03)18.05% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04% (0.042999999999999 0.04)48.96% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (0.012 0.01)29.63% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)65.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 49%
    Swindon Town 27.18%
    Draw 23.81%
Peterborough UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.81%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 27.18%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Swindon

Peterborough United
81.8%
Draw
9.1%
Swindon Town
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Swindon
0-3
Peterborough

Twine (37'), Camp (61')
Dembele (17', 23'), Clarke-Harris (90+4')
Taylor (86')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Peterborough
3-1
Swindon
Clarke-Harris (48', 69' pen.), Broom (78')
Payne (6')
Baudry (44'), Caddis (68'), Grounds (90+1')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Peterborough

Thompson (26'), Jones (62'), Gladwin (65')
Forrester (46')
Smith (37'), Maddison (65')
Sep 3, 2016 12.15pm
Peterborough
2-2
Swindon
Edwards (36'), Maddison (64' pen.)
Edwards (43')
Doughty (51' pen.), Baldwin (77' og.)
Jones (53')
Feb 27, 2016 3pm
Peterborough
1-2
Swindon
Maddison (12' pen.)
Samuelsen (42'), Beautyman (52'), da Silva Lopes (61'), Toffolo (89')
Ajose (49'), Doughty (82')
Thompson (12'), Doughty (33'), Barry (67')