League One

League One | 1st Leg

May 12, 2023 at 8pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
4 - 0
Sheff Weds

(5-5 on aggregate)

Taylor (20'), Ward (36'), Poku (50'), Clarke-Harris (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Match Report

Peterborough United thrash a shell-shocked Sheffield Wednesday 4-0 to put one foot in the League One playoff final at Wembley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Peterborough
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Derby
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
37.99% ( 5.78)	25.48% ( -0.12)	36.53% ( -5.66)

Both teams to score 56.03% (

1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.12% (

1.31)

47.88% (

-1.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.94% (

1.19)

70.06% (

-1.18)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

4.05)

24.75% (

-4.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.69% (

5.34)

59.31% (

-5.33)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.45% (

-2.37)

25.55% (

2.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.59% (

-3.35)

60.41% (

3.36)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 37.99%

Sheffield Wednesday 36.53%

Draw 25.48%

Peterborough United	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.99) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.78) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.72) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0.33) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.99%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( -1.13) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -1.25) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.59) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.8) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.53%