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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crewe
2 - 2
Mansfield

Demetriou (32'), Adebisi (60')
Offord (37'), Thomas (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Keillor-Dunn (22', 26')
Keillor-Dunn (58'), Kilgour (59'), Quinn (63'), Reed (87')
MacDonald (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 2-2 Crewe
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-4 Rotherham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
15.58% (-2.518 -2.52)21.03% (-2.244 -2.24)63.39% (4.76 4.76)
Both teams to score 49.45% (1.756 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.59% (5.043 5.04)46.41% (-5.046 -5.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.31% (4.57 4.57)68.69% (-4.571 -4.57)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.49% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)42.51% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.13% (-0.135 -0.14)78.87% (0.134 0.13)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (3.281 3.28)13.99% (-3.282 -3.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (6.097 6.1)41.5% (-6.098 -6.1)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 15.58%
    Mansfield Town 63.38%
    Draw 21.03%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 5.09% (-1.197 -1.2)
2-1 @ 4.28% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-0 @ 2.18% (-0.524 -0.52)
3-1 @ 1.22% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 15.58%
1-1 @ 10% (-1.03 -1.03)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-1.367 -1.37)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 21.03%
0-1 @ 11.69% (-1.15 -1.15)
0-2 @ 11.5% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.149 0.15)
0-3 @ 7.54% (0.939 0.94)
1-3 @ 6.45% (0.778 0.78)
0-4 @ 3.71% (0.81 0.81)
1-4 @ 3.17% (0.682 0.68)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.323 0.32)
0-5 @ 1.46% (0.441 0.44)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.287 0.29)
1-5 @ 1.25% (0.373 0.37)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 63.38%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Mansfield
1-1
Crewe
Maris (42')
Mellor (55')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Crewe
1-2
Mansfield
Swan (87'), Hawkins (90+3')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 38
Mansfield
P-P
Crewe
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 21
Crewe
1-1
Mansfield
Anene (8')
Cook (27')
MacDonald (83'), Preston (84')
Oct 8, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Mansfield
1-1
Crewe
Crewe win 4-3 on penalties
Knowles (18')
Cook (27')
Finney (45')
Johnson (30'), Finney (87')