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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 15.58% ( | 21.03% ( | 63.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.59% ( | 46.41% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.31% ( | 68.69% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.49% ( | 42.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.13% ( | 78.87% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.01% ( | 13.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.5% ( | 41.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 5.09% ( 2-1 @ 4.28% ( 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 3-1 @ 1.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 15.58% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 11.69% ( 0-2 @ 11.5% ( 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0-3 @ 7.54% ( 1-3 @ 6.45% ( 0-4 @ 3.71% ( 1-4 @ 3.17% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-5 @ 1.46% ( 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 1-5 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 63.38% |