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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Sutton United

Newport
3 - 1
Sutton

Kizzi (70' og.), Charsley (77'), Evans (87')
Bennett (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Patrick (53')
Coley (45+2'), Angol (45+3'), Sowunmi (74')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Newport
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Sutton United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-3 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawSutton United
45.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)26.98%27.43% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 47.99% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31%56.69% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35%77.65%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.61% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)59.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.96% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 45.59%
    Sutton United 27.43%
    Draw 26.98%
Newport CountyDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.51%
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.72%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 8.98%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 2.19%
0-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 27.43%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Newport
0-2
Sutton
Rowe (9'), Smith (65')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Sutton
1-1
Newport
Bugiel (24')
Goodliffe (10'), Bugiel (56'), Rowe (89')
Bogle (38')
Norman (10'), Bowen (72'), Bennett (74')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Sutton
1-0
Newport
Milsom (45' pen.)
Bennett (47'), Bouzanis (73'), Milsom (80'), John (85'), Boldewijn (90+1')

Norman (80'), Dolan (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Newport
3-2
Sutton
Collins (53'), Baker-Richardson (64'), Dolan (90+3' pen.)
Ajiboye (24', 42')
Barden (72')
Eastmond (34')
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