Champions League
AC Milan
Sep 19, 2023 5.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Newcastle
  • Davide Calabria 40' yellowcard
  • Yunus Musah 82' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 83' yellowcard
  • Rade Krunic 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Schar 49'

AC Milan vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Newcastle United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

AC Milan 46.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 24.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Newcastle United 29.38% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.97% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.86% ▼ (-0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 80.12%
Under 0.5 19.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.98%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 71.1% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 35.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.77% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

AC Milan 46.11%
Draw 24.49%
Newcastle United 29.38%
AC Milan
2-1 @ 9.31% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.49%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 29.38%

Form Data

Inter Milan 5 - 1 AC Milan
Roma 1 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 4 - 1 Torino
Bologna 0 - 2 AC Milan
AC Milan 4 - 2 Novara
AC Milan 0 - 1 Trento
Newcastle 1 - 0 Brentford
Brighton 3 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 2 Liverpool
Man City 1 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 5 - 1 Aston Villa
Newcastle 4 - 0 Villarreal

Build-up

Predicted Lineups