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-
Samuel Chukwueze
9'
-
Noah Okafor
15'
-
Davide Calabria
55'
-
Lorenzo Colombo
88'
-
Niccolo Corti
31'
-
Luca Prinelli
82'
AC Milan vs Novara - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Novara had a probability of 12.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Novara win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
70.32%
▼
(-1.35)
Draw
17.3%
▲
(+0.52)
Novara
12.38%
▲
(+0.85)
Both Teams to Score:
53.64%
▲
(+0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.51%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 2.5
36.49%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 3.5
41.37%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
58.63%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
23.25%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
76.75%
▲
(+0.17)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
90.73%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 0.5
9.27%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 1.5
68.68%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 1.5
31.32%
▲
(+0.86)
Novara Goals
Over 0.5
59.12%
▲
(+1.27)
Under 0.5
40.88%
▼
(-1.26)
Over 1.5
22.55%
▲
(+1.11)
Under 1.5
77.45%
▼
(-1.11)
Score analysis
AC Milan
70.31%
Draw
17.3%
Novara
12.38%
AC Milan
2-0
@
10.71%
▼
(-0.26)
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.30)
4-1 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.10)
5-0 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.35%
Total : 70.31%
2-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.30)
4-1 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.4% ▲ (+0.10)
5-0 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.19)
5-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.09)
4-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.35%
Total : 70.31%
Draw
1-1
@
8.06%
▲
(+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-94.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.3%
2-2 @ 4.29% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-94.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.3%
Novara
1-2
@
3.61%
▲
(+0.22)
0-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-96.63)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.38%
0-1 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.15)
0-2 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-96.63)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.38%