/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbarlog.png)
-
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
29'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
44'
-
Marcos Alonso
7'
-
Ansu Fati
55'
AC Milan vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F30%2Fbarrma.JPG)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F30%2Fousmane-dembele.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result
AC Milan
49.46%
▲
(+0.20)
Draw
22.89%
▼
(-0.07)
Barcelona
27.65%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
61.32%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.71%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 2.5
39.29%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 3.5
38.38%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 3.5
61.62%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
20.85%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 4.5
79.15%
▼
(-0.17)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
83.87%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 0.5
16.12%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 1.5
54.45%
▲
(+0.26)
Under 1.5
45.55%
▼
(-0.26)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
73.11%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
26.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
37.8%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
62.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
AC Milan
49.46%
Draw
22.89%
Barcelona
27.65%
AC Milan
2-1
@
9.48%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 49.46%
1-0 @ 7.91% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 49.46%
Draw
1-1
@
10.39%
▼
(-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.89%
2-2 @ 6.23% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.89%
Barcelona
1-2
@
6.83%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 27.65%
Head to Head
-
Daniele Massaro
22'
-
Mauro Tassotti
35'
-
Daniele Massaro
45'
-
Daniele Massaro
45'
-
Dejan Savicevic
47'
-
Demetrio Albertini
53'
-
Marcel Desailly
58'
-
Christian Panucci
88'
-
Hristo Stoichkov
24'
-
Jose Mari Bakero
48'
-
Miguel Angel Nadal
54'
-
Sergi
55'
-
Albert Ferrer
58'