Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 5.00pm
5
1
HT : 3 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 5' goal
  • Marcus Thuram 38' goal
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 69' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 72' yellowcard
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 79' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+3' goal
  • Davide Frattesi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • yellowcard Malick Thiaw 24'
  • goal Rafael Leao 57'
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 61'

Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 3, 2023 5.30pm
Inter Milan 4 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2023 7.45pm
Roma 1 - 2 AC Milan
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Olivier Giroud

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 47.42% (+0.01)
Draw 25.76% (+0.01)
AC Milan 26.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.11% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.58% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 52.42% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.9% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 74.1% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 11.93% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 88.06% (+0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 77.9% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 22.1% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.53% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 55.47% (+0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 65.62% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 34.38% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 28.91% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 71.09% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 47.42%
Draw 25.75%
AC Milan 26.82%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 11.47% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.24%
2-0 @ 8.66%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-0 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 47.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.6% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.75%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 8.11% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.54%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.82%

Head to Head

Champions League
May 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lautaro Martinez 74' goal
Champions League
May 10, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Edin Dzeko 8'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 11'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 34' goal
Supercoppa Italiana
Jan 18, 2023 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • goal Federico Dimarco 10'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 77'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Sep 3, 2022 5.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 9' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 28' goal
  • Olivier Giroud 32' yellowcard
  • Charles De Ketelaere 51' yellowcard
  • Olivier Giroud 54' goal
  • Rafael Leao 60' goal
  • Sandro Tonali 77' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denzel Dumfries 9'
  • goal Marcelo Brozovic 21'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 39'
  • goal Edin Dzeko 67'
  • yellowcard Simone Inzaghi 71'
Coppa Italia
Apr 19, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 4' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 40' goal
  • Milan Skriniar 50' yellowcard
  • Robin Gosens 82' goal
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 35'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 90'