Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 2

Aug 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
0 - 2
Inter Milan

Luvumbo (83')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dumfries (21'), Martinez (30')
Mkhitaryan (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Cagliari
Monday, August 21 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Monza
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Inter Milan
33.9% ( -0.06)	27% ( 0.02)	39.1% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.66% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.42% (

-0.08)

54.58% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.07% (

-0.07)

75.93% (

0.07)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

-0.08)

30.38% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

-0.1)

66.57% (

0.11)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76% (

-0.01)

27.24% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.34% (

-0.01)

62.66% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 33.9%

Inter Milan 39.1%

Draw 27%

Cagliari	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.9%	1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.1%