Serie A Gameweek 2
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Zito Luvumbo 83' yellowcard
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 21'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 30'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 81'

Cagliari vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2023 5.30pm
Torino 0 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Viola

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Monza
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 33.9% (-0.07)
Draw 27% (+0.02)
Inter Milan 39.1% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.66% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.42% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 54.58% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 24.07% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 75.93% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 10.78% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 89.22% (+0.05)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 69.63% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 30.38% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 33.43% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 66.57% (+0.11)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 72.76% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.24% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.34% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 62.66% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cagliari 33.9%
Draw 27%
Inter Milan 39.1%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.87% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.33% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 33.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.82% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.27% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27%
Inter Milan
0-1 @ 10.76% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.34% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3.03% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 39.1%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Charalampos Lykogiannis 54' goal
  • goal Matteo Darmian 25'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 37'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 51'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 84'
  • yellowcard Hakan Calhanoglu 87'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lautaro Martinez 29' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 33' yellowcard
  • Alexis Sanchez 50' goal
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 66' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 68' goal
  • yellowcard Alessio Cragno 43'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 76'
Serie A Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 52' yellowcard
  • Matteo Darmian 77' goal
  • yellowcard Radja Nainggolan 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 11
Dec 13, 2020 11.30am
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paolo Farago 10' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Sottil 42' goal
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 16'
  • goal Nicolo Barella 77'
  • goal Danilo D'Ambrosio 84'
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 21
Jan 26, 2020 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 29' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 45' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 61' yellowcard
  • Stefan de Vrij 83' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 94' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Martinez 95' redcard
  • Tommaso Berni 95' redcard
  • yellowcard Rolando Maran 32'
  • goal Radja Nainggolan 78'
Coppa Italia
Jan 14, 2020 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Romelu Lukaku 1' goal
  • Borja Valero 22' goal
  • Romelu Lukaku 49' goal
  • Diego Godin 65' yellowcard
  • Andrea Ranocchia 81' goal
  • Stefano Sensi 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 46'
  • goal Christian Oliva 73'