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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
2 - 1
Palermo

Dossena (100'), Di Pardo (120+3')
Oristanio (32'), Dossena (89')
FT
(aet)
Soleri (120+1')
Gomes (11'), Vasic (73')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Cagliari and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, June 11 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 2-2 Brescia
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 24.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%).

Result
CagliariDrawPalermo
50.39% (-0.438 -0.44)24.72% (0.168 0.17)24.89% (0.268 0.27)
Both teams to score 52.59% (-0.25599999999999 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (-0.47 -0.47)49.65% (0.467 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (-0.423 -0.42)71.67% (0.419 0.42)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.28% (-0.361 -0.36)19.72% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.27% (-0.59 -0.59)51.73% (0.587 0.59)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)34.49% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)71.21% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 50.38%
    Palermo 24.89%
    Draw 24.72%
CagliariDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 50.38%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.89%

Head to Head
May 13, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 37
Cagliari
2-1
Palermo
Deiola (25'), Lapadula (64')
Zappa (21'), Dossena (50'), Lella (90')
Segre (16')
Mateju (42'), Marconi (51')
Marconi (56')
Dec 18, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 18
Palermo
2-1
Cagliari
Brunori (37' pen.), Segre (53')
Pavoletti (90+5')
Aug 12, 2018 7.30pm
Third Round
Cagliari
2-1
Palermo
Pavoletti (31', 73')
Cigarini (42')
Nestorovski (52')
Rajkovic (39'), Murawski (64')
Aug 12, 2017 8.15pm
Round Three
Cagliari
1-1
Palermo
 Cagliari win 4-2 on penalties
Pedro (45')
La Gumina (66')
Apr 2, 2017 2pm
Palermo
1-3
Cagliari
Gonzalez (26')
Gazzi (5'), Henrique (75'), Trajkovski (90')
Ionita (48', 89'), Borriello (58')
Isla (16')