Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Brescia logo

Palermo
2 - 2
Brescia

Brunori (4'), Tutino (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rodriguez (54'), Aye (57')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Palermo
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Pisa
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
PalermoDrawBrescia
52.24% (0.272 0.27)25.4% (0.65 0.65)22.36% (-0.92 -0.92)
Both teams to score 47.82% (-2.968 -2.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.44% (-3.369 -3.37)54.56% (3.371 3.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.09% (-2.874 -2.87)75.9% (2.877 2.88)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (-1.224 -1.22)20.9% (1.226 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (-1.956 -1.96)53.62% (1.957 1.96)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.46% (-2.771 -2.77)39.54% (2.772 2.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (-2.669 -2.67)76.22% (2.67 2.67)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 52.23%
    Brescia 22.36%
    Draw 25.4%
PalermoDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 12.93% (1.17 1.17)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.282 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.319 -0.32)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 52.23%
1-1 @ 12% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 8.27% (1.03 1.03)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.427 -0.43)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.318 -0.32)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 22.36%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 19
Brescia
1-1
Palermo
Galazzi (50')
Segre (52')
Brunori (45')
Feb 15, 2019 8pm
gameweek 24
Palermo
1-1
Brescia
Nestorovski (79')
Falletti (19'), Rispoli (64')
Tremolada (90')
Torregrossa (8'), Ndoj (71'), Sabelli (82'), Tremolada (90')
Sep 25, 2018 8pm
gameweek 5
Brescia
2-1
Palermo
Donnarumma (27', 29')
Torregrossa (40'), Ndoj (51'), Tonali (90')
Moreo (86')
Aleesami (77')
Jan 27, 2018 2pm
Palermo
2-0
Brescia
Chochev (4'), Gnahore (90')
Bellusci (53')

Bisoli (51'), Martinelli (64')
Sep 2, 2017 5pm
Brescia
0-0
Palermo

Furlan (50'), Coppolaro (66'), Martinelli (92')