Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Benevento
42.9% ( 0.07)	27.39% ( 0.01)	29.7% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 48.1% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.82% (

-0.08)

57.18% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.96% (

-0.06)

78.04% (

0.06)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

-0)

26.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.45% (

-0)

61.55%

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.34% (

-0.1)

34.65% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.62% (

-0.11)

71.38% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Palermo 42.9%

Benevento 29.7%

Draw 27.39%

Palermo	Draw	Benevento
1-0 @ 12.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.9%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.7%