Venezia
Serie B | Gameweek 33
Apr 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
3 - 2
Palermo

Johnsen (19'), Pohjanpalo (61' pen.), Tessmann (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brunori (5'), Tutino (86' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Venezia and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions
Last Game: Reggina 1-0 Venezia
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 0-0 Cosenza
Monday, April 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawPalermo
47.46% (-0.229 -0.23)25.52% (0.012 0.01)27.02% (0.216 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.01% (0.134 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.67% (0.090000000000003 0.09)51.33% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.85% (0.081 0.08)73.15% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)21.63% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.25% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)54.75% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.36% (0.223 0.22)33.64% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.71% (0.241 0.24)70.29% (-0.242 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 47.46%
    Palermo 27.02%
    Draw 25.51%
VeneziaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 47.46%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 7.93% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 27.02%

Head to Head
Nov 27, 2022 5pm
Palermo
0-1
Venezia
Pohjanpalo (65')
Tessmann (37')
Mar 11, 2019 8pm
Venezia
1-1
Palermo
Bocalon (39')
Bocalon (40')
Puscas (84')
Bellusci (43')
Oct 26, 2018 8pm
Palermo
1-1
Venezia
Struna (90')
Salvi (9'), Nestorovski (60'), Bellusci (65'), Struna (87')
Trajkovski (63')
Segre (60')
Litteri (65'), Di Mariano (89')
Jun 10, 2018 5.30pm
Semi-Finals
Palermo
1-0
Venezia
Domizzi (5' og.)
Jajalo (33'), Coronado (85'), Fiordilino (90')

Modolo (34')
Pinato (82')
Jun 6, 2018 8pm
Semi-Finals
Venezia
1-1
Palermo
Marsura (57')
Stulac (50')
La Gumina (53')
Bellusci (58'), Aleesami (85')