Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera

Palermo
5 - 2
Modena

Tutino (25'), Soleri (47'), Verre (56'), Aurelio (59'), Vido (79' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Strizzolo (4', 30')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 3-3 Palermo
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Pisa
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
PalermoDrawModena
44.84% (-0.362 -0.36)26.16% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)29% (0.425 0.43)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.455 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.21% (0.468 0.47)52.78% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.59% (0.398 0.4)74.41% (-0.39999999999999 -0.4)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (0.030000000000001 0.03)23.45% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)57.47% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (0.568 0.57)32.87% (-0.57 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (0.626 0.63)69.44% (-0.62899999999999 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 44.83%
    Modena 29%
    Draw 26.15%
PalermoDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.17% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 44.83%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.71% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.073 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Palermo vs Modena

Palermo
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Modena
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Modena
0-2
Palermo

Magnino (7')
Brunori (9' pen.), Valente (45+2')
Aug 23, 2014 7.45pm
Round Three
Palermo
0-3
Modena

Barreto (51')
Ferrari (6'), Beltrame (42'), Schiavone (88')
Ferrari (30')
> Match Report