Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Como
1 - 0
Modena

Cerri (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Como and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Perugia 0-0 Como
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 0-1 Ascoli
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.

Result
ComoDrawModena
44.74% (0.0049999999999955 0)25.47% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)29.8% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 54.02% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)49.57% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)71.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.13% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.5% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)30.63% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.87%
Score Analysis
    Como 44.73%
    Modena 29.8%
    Draw 25.46%
ComoDrawModena
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.8%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 1pm
Modena
5-1
Como
Pergreffi (11', 23'), Armellino (41'), Diaw (50'), Magnino (72')
Cutrone (84')
Baselli (5')
rhs 2.0


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