Serie B | Gameweek 25
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Genoa logo

Modena
2 - 2
Genoa

Strizzolo (33'), Puscas (55' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dragusin (6'), Bani (85')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Genoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Modena
Saturday, February 11 at 1pm in Serie B

Genoa

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Genoa 2-0 Palermo
Friday, February 10 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
ModenaDrawGenoa
39.78% (-0.212 -0.21)27.01% (0.047000000000001 0.05)33.21% (0.162 0.16)
Both teams to score 50.5% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.28% (-0.153 -0.15)54.72% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.96% (-0.127 -0.13)76.04% (0.125 0.13)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)26.92% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.75% (-0.248 -0.25)62.25% (0.247 0.25)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (0.030000000000001 0.03)30.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82% (0.036999999999999 0.04)67.18% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Modena 39.78%
    Genoa 33.21%
    Draw 27%
ModenaDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.41% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.78%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27%
0-1 @ 9.77% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 33.21%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3.15pm
Genoa
1-0
Modena
Jagiello (44')

Gargiulo (9')