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Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
2 - 0
Palermo

Gudmundsson (25'), Jagiello (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Genoa and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 2-0 Genoa
Sunday, February 5 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 2-1 Reggina
Sunday, February 5 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.

Result
GenoaDrawPalermo
56.06% (0.07 0.07)25.84% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)18.09% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 40.92% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49% (0.13 0.13)60.51% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.37% (0.096999999999998 0.1)80.62% (-0.095999999999989 -0.1)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (0.082999999999998 0.08)21.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (0.125 0.13)54.92% (-0.124 -0.12)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.29% (0.048999999999999 0.05)47.7% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.99% (0.036999999999999 0.04)83.01% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 56.05%
    Palermo 18.09%
    Draw 25.83%
GenoaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 15.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.07%
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.55% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.09%

How you voted: Genoa vs Palermo

Genoa
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Palermo
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2022 7.30pm
Palermo
1-0
Genoa
Brunori (49')
Mateju (21')
May 14, 2017 2pm
Palermo
1-0
Genoa
Lamanna (13' og.)
Henrique (25')

Rigono (6')
Dec 18, 2016 7.45pm
Genoa
3-4
Palermo
Simeone (4', 57'), Ninkovic (65')
Ntcham (48'), Rigoni (58'), Edenilson (68')
Perin (93')
Quaison (42'), Goldaniga (69'), Rispoli (88'), Trajkovski (90')
Andjelkovic (26'), Cionek (45'), Goldaniga (52'), Jajalo (61'), Nestorovski (95')
Jan 17, 2016 11.30am
Genoa
4-0
Palermo
Suso (4'), Pavoletti (71', 88'), Rincon (75')
Rigoni (58'), Burdisso (73')

Andelkovic (22'), Gonzalez (39'), Goldaniga (90')
Andelkovic (65')
Aug 23, 2015 7.45pm