Serie B | Gameweek 22
Jan 29, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
1 - 2
Palermo

Forte (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brunori (15', 82')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: SPAL 1-1 Ascoli
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Palermo 1-0 Bari
Friday, January 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
AscoliDrawPalermo
41.23% (0.165 0.16)28.25% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)30.52% (-0.112 -0.11)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06% (0.167 0.17)59.93% (-0.16999999999999 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81% (0.126 0.13)80.18% (-0.131 -0.13)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.41% (0.173 0.17)28.59% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.61% (0.217 0.22)64.39% (-0.22 -0.22)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)35.51% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)72.27% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 41.23%
    Palermo 30.52%
    Draw 28.24%
AscoliDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.96% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 41.23%
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.15% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 10.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.52%

Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
Palermo
2-3
Ascoli
Brunori (36'), Segre (63')
Crivello (32'), Valente (60')
Valente (89')
Gondo (27', 45+5', 52')
Gondo (45+3'), Donati (76'), Leali (82')
May 4, 2019 2pm
Ascoli
1-2
Palermo
Addae (63')
Casarini (80')
Moreo (60'), Haas (86')
Moreo (65'), Rajkovic (73'), Jajalo (76'), Szyminski (85')
Dec 27, 2018 8pm
Palermo
3-0
Ascoli
Perucchini (26' og.), Chochev (74'), Szyminski (87')
Jajalo (58')

Addae (68')
Feb 27, 2018 7.30pm
Palermo
4-1
Ascoli
Rispoli (46', 55'), Coronado (48'), Nestorovski (83')
Rispoli (53'), La Gumina (54')
Bianchi (42')
Gigliotti (30'), Clemenza (63'), Mignanelli (82')
Sep 30, 2017 2pm
Ascoli
0-0
Palermo

Addae (90')

Murawski (30'), Morganella (88')
rhs 2.0


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