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Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
1 - 1
Ascoli

Dickmann (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Adjapong (41')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions
Last Game: Reggina 0-1 SPAL
Saturday, January 14 at 1pm in Serie B

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Ascoli
Sunday, January 15 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawAscoli
38.3% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)26.97% (-0.038 -0.04)34.72% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (0.163 0.16)54.35% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27% (0.134 0.13)75.73% (-0.136 -0.14)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (0.028000000000006 0.03)27.58% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (0.034999999999997 0.03)63.1% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.27% (0.158 0.16)29.73% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.21% (0.192 0.19)65.79% (-0.19399999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    SPAL 38.3%
    Ascoli 34.72%
    Draw 26.97%
SPALDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.94% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 34.72%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Ascoli
1-1
SPAL
Gondo (21' pen.)
Gondo (21'), Bellusci (24'), Salvi (32'), Falasco (85')
Maistro (26')
Zanellato (20'), Murgia (23'), Maistro (35'), Esposito (56'), Arena (59')
Mar 12, 2022 3.15pm
SPAL
1-2
Ascoli
Melchiorri (54')
Esposito (45+4'), Crociata (55')
Collocolo (45+1'), Buchel (90')
Collocolo (45+4'), Bellusci (75')
Oct 28, 2021 5pm
Ascoli
0-1
SPAL

Sabiri (29'), Salvi (57'), Baschirotto (73'), Eramo (75'), Buchel (89')
Colombo (63')
Viviani (36'), Latte Lath (43'), Mora (50'), Colombo (87')
Apr 16, 2021 8pm
SPAL
1-2
Ascoli
Valoti (26')
Tomovic (14')
Sabiri (42'), Bajic (53')
Buchel (45+3'), Quaranta (90+3'), Dionisi (90+6')
Dec 27, 2020 2pm
Ascoli
2-0
SPAL
Sabiri (28', 75')
Buchel (64'), Pucino (85'), Eramo (88')

Valoti (25'), Esposito (69'), Thiam (76')
rhs 2.0


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