Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati

Ternana
1 - 0
Ascoli

Palumbo (27')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Ascoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 3-0 Ternana
Monday, December 26 at 5pm in Serie B

Ascoli

All competitions
Last Game: Ascoli 0-1 Reggina
Monday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
TernanaDrawAscoli
34.85% (-0.193 -0.19)27.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)37.78% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.68% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (0.102 0.1)55.89% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (0.085000000000001 0.09)77% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.59% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)30.41% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.39% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)66.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (0.184 0.18)28.62% (-0.185 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (0.23 0.23)64.42% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 34.85%
    Ascoli 37.77%
    Draw 27.37%
TernanaDrawAscoli
1-0 @ 10.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 34.85%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.81% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.015 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 37.77%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Ascoli
2-1
Ternana
Botteghin (14'), Collocolo (32')
Leali (34'), Ciciretti (90')
Favilli (76')
Palumbo (45+2'), Bogdan (58'), Paghera (90+2'), Diakite (90+4')
May 6, 2022 7.30pm
Ascoli
4-1
Ternana
Tsadjout (6', 19', 60'), Defendi (63' og.)
D'Orazio (45+1')
Partipilo (46')
Pettinari (27')
Jan 14, 2022 7.30pm
Ternana
2-4
Ascoli
Falletti (57'), Peralta (90+4')
Ghiringhelli (13'), Paghera (32'), Celli (73')
Maistro (20', 23'), Caligara (42' pen.), Baschirotto (75')
Maistro (37'), D'Orazio (45+1'), Caligara (58')
Mar 17, 2018 2pm
Ascoli
2-1
Ternana
Padella (20'), Monachello (84' pen.)
Padella (24')
Mignanelli (72')
Gasparetto (48')
Favalli (37'), Valijent (61'), Tremolada (74'), Piovaccari (78')
Signori (90')
Oct 21, 2017 2pm
Ternana
1-1
Ascoli
Montalto (79')
Favilli (74')