Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Como had a probability of 20.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Ascoli	Draw	Como
54.52% ( 0.09)	24.51% ( -0.04)	20.97% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48.59% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.38% (

0.09)

52.62% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.73% (

0.08)

74.27% (

-0.08)

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.77% (

0.07)

19.22% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.07% (

0.12)

50.93% (

-0.12)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.16% (

39.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.49% (

76.5% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Ascoli 54.51%

Como 20.97%

Draw 24.51%

Ascoli	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.51%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.97%