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Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe

Frosinone
3 - 0
Ternana

Mulattieri (38'), Insigne (54'), Garritano (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Frosinone and Ternana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Frosinone

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Frosinone
Sunday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 0-3 Como
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ternana had a probability of 16.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ternana win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawTernana
61.5% (5.598 5.6)21.83% (-1.676 -1.68)16.68% (-3.921 -3.92)
Both teams to score 49.36% (-1.719 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (1.255 1.26)47.78% (-1.254 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (1.147 1.15)69.97% (-1.147 -1.15)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (2.346 2.35)15.03% (-2.345 -2.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.49% (4.271 4.27)43.51% (-4.27 -4.27)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09% (-3.731 -3.73)41.91% (3.731 3.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-3.415 -3.42)78.35% (3.414 3.41)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 61.49%
    Ternana 16.68%
    Draw 21.83%
FrosinoneDrawTernana
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 11.31% (1.16 1.16)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.15% (1.218 1.22)
3-1 @ 6.22% (0.507 0.51)
4-0 @ 3.39% (0.792 0.79)
4-1 @ 2.95% (0.447 0.45)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.376 0.38)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.242 0.24)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 61.49%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.79 -0.79)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.432 -0.43)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.83%
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.909 -0.91)
1-2 @ 4.51% (-0.868 -0.87)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.693 -0.69)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.418 -0.42)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.272 -0.27)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 16.68%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 5pm
Ternana
4-4
Frosinone
Proietti (21'), Minelli (27' og.), Palumbo (47'), Pettinari (77')
Bogdan (72'), Koutsoupias (90')
Rohden (10'), Bogdan (37' og.), Gatti (64'), Novakovich (90+6' pen.)
Ciano (31'), Rohden (44'), Boloca (67'), Garritano (90')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
Frosinone
1-1
Ternana
Charpentier (17')
Gatti (25'), Cotali (44'), Cicerelli (87')
Gatti (26')
Pettinari (51')
Paghera (9'), Pettinari (55'), Diakite (70')
Mar 25, 2018 2pm
Ternana
0-0
Frosinone

Vitiello (63'), Montalto (86')

Ariaudo (69')
Oct 24, 2017 7.30pm
Frosinone
4-2
Ternana
Soddimo (18'), Ciofani (48'), Citro (82'), Ciano (90')
Terranova (16'), Citro (84')
Gasparetto (10'), Angiulli (74')
Carretta (88')