Serie B | Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Cagliari logo

Ternana
1 - 0
Cagliari

Falletti (8' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Cagliari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ternana

All competitions
Last Game: Venezia 2-1 Ternana
Saturday, December 3 at 1pm in Serie B

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Parma
Saturday, December 3 at 5pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ternana in this match.

Result
TernanaDrawCagliari
38.56% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)27.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)34.25% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 50.16% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.75% (0.055 0.05)55.24% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)76.47% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Ternana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (-0.128 -0.13)27.85% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (-0.164 -0.16)63.46% (0.166 0.17)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (0.20800000000001 0.21)30.47% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.243 0.24)66.69% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Ternana 38.56%
    Cagliari 34.25%
    Draw 27.18%
TernanaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 38.56%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.99% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 34.25%

How you voted: Ternana vs Cagliari

Ternana
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Cagliari
28.6%
14