Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Ascoli
41.65%	25.12%	33.23%

Both teams to score 56.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.24%

46.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.98%

69.02%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.62%

22.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.12%

55.88%

Ascoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04%

26.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7%

62.3%

Score Analysis

SPAL 41.65%

Ascoli 33.23%

Draw 25.12%

SPAL	Draw	Ascoli
1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.65%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.12%	0-1 @ 7.91% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.23%