Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli
3 - 0
Alessandria

Saric (29'), Bidaoui (54'), Botteghin (61')
Baschirotto (18'), Bellusci (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mantovani (14'), Di Gennaro (17')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and Alessandria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Alessandria had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Alessandria win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.

Result
AscoliDrawAlessandria
44.99%27.04%27.97%
Both teams to score 48.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.35%56.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.39%77.61%
Ascoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92%25.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23%59.77%
Alessandria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28%35.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5%72.5%
Score Analysis
    Ascoli 44.99%
    Alessandria 27.97%
    Draw 27.04%
AscoliDrawAlessandria
1-0 @ 12.39%
2-1 @ 8.82%
2-0 @ 8.57%
3-1 @ 4.07%
3-0 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-0 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.96%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.22%
1-2 @ 6.57%
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 2.25%
0-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.97%