Ascoli vs Crotone - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ascoli win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Crotone had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ascoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Crotone win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ascoli would win this match.