Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and Crotone.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Crotone |
| 64.07% | 20.52% | 15.42% |
| Both teams to score 50.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% | 44.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% | 66.86% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% | 13.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.12% | 39.88% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.45% | 41.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.95% | 78.05% |
| Score Analysis |
Lecce 64.05%
Crotone 15.42%
Draw 20.52%
| Lecce | Draw | Crotone |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.6% 3-1 @ 6.67% 4-0 @ 3.85% 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.48% 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3% Total : 64.05% | 1-1 @ 9.75% 0-0 @ 5.48% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.96% Total : 20.52% | 0-1 @ 4.81% 1-2 @ 4.28% 0-2 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.27% 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.42% |


