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Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
0 - 1
Pisa

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sibilli (54')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 0-1 SPAL
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 3-0 Brescia
Saturday, December 17 at 5pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawPisa
37.28% (-1.423 -1.42)27.37% (0.262 0.26)35.35% (1.164 1.16)
Both teams to score 49.71% (-0.677 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.13% (-0.915 -0.91)55.87% (0.917 0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.02% (-0.75 -0.75)76.99% (0.754 0.75)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (-1.265 -1.27)28.9% (1.268 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-1.602 -1.6)64.78% (1.605 1.61)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.91% (0.289 0.29)30.09% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.345 0.34)66.22% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    SPAL 37.28%
    Pisa 35.35%
    Draw 27.37%
SPALDrawPisa
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-1 @ 3.33% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.114 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.28%
1-1 @ 12.96% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.303 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.44% (0.44 0.44)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.313 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.51% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 35.35%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
SPAL
0-0
Pisa

Vicari (25'), Mora (61'), Mancosu (72')

Caracciolo (26'), Birindelli (51'), Mastinu (82'), Lucca (88')
Aug 22, 2021 7.30pm
Pisa
1-0
SPAL
Sibilli (1')
Caracciolo (24'), Marin (73')

Viviani (12'), Dickmann (16'), Colombo (53'), Egill Ellertsson (70')
Mar 15, 2021 8pm
Pisa
3-0
SPAL
Marsura (44'), Mazzitelli (80'), Siega (90+2')
Gucher (41'), Quaini (56'), Benedetti (74')

Espeto (5'), Sala (42')
Dec 5, 2020 1pm
SPAL
4-0
Pisa
Paloschi (14', 17'), Tomovic (54'), Di Francesco (59')
Di Francesco (67')

Marin (43'), Lisi (62'), Caracciolo (64')