Perugia logo
Serie B | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
3 - 3
Palermo

Di Serio (2'), Casasola (7' pen.), Olivieri (36')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Marconi (23'), Valente (48'), Brunori (89')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perugia

All competitions
Last Game: Benevento 0-2 Perugia
Monday, December 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Palermo

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-1 Palermo
Monday, December 26 at 11.30am in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (11.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
PerugiaDrawPalermo
37.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02)29.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)32.44% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 42.95% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)64.02% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.8% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)83.2% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42% (-0.012 -0.01)32.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)36.3% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)73.08% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Perugia 37.95%
    Palermo 32.44%
    Draw 29.6%
PerugiaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.95%
1-1 @ 13.44%
0-0 @ 11.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.6%
0-1 @ 11.98%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 32.44%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Palermo
2-0
Perugia
Brunori (25' pen.), Elia (68')
Floriano (32'), Nedelcearu (81')

Iannoni (4'), Dell'Orco (12'), Vulic (34'), Kouan (52'), Curado (56')
Lisi (23')
Feb 9, 2019 2pm
Perugia
1-2
Palermo
Melchiorri (89')
Bianco (40'), Sadiq (66'), Verre (90')
Puscas (2', 47')
Haas (28'), Bellusci (62')
Sep 22, 2018 2pm
Palermo
4-1
Perugia
Bellusci (14'), Nestorovski (18', 68' pen.), Trajkovski (58')
Jajalo (20')
Dragomir (80')
Moscati (23'), Gyomber (41')
Feb 17, 2018 2pm
Perugia
1-0
Palermo
Di Carmine (90')
Leali (0'), Gustafson (55')

Jajalo (87')
Sep 19, 2017 7.30pm
Palermo
1-0
Perugia
Nestorovski (81' pen.)
Struna (30'), Murawski (40'), Chochev (45'), Gnahore (80'), Nestorovski (83')
Bellusci (90')

Colombatto (37'), Bandinelli (42')