Cagliari logo
Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Perugia logo

Cagliari
3 - 2
Perugia

Pavoletti (20', 81'), Lapadula (27')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Strizzolo (29'), Casasola (54' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Perugia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Cagliari
Wednesday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Perugia

All competitions
Last Game: Perugia 0-0 SPAL
Thursday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 26.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawPerugia
46.64% (0.521 0.52)27.24% (-0.205 -0.21)26.12% (-0.32 -0.32)
Both teams to score 46.34% (0.311 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.66% (0.521 0.52)58.34% (-0.525 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04% (0.406 0.41)78.95% (-0.40900000000001 -0.41)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.48899999999999 0.49)25.03% (-0.492 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.3% (0.675 0.67)59.7% (-0.679 -0.68)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (0.012 0.01)38.18% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.05% (0.013999999999999 0.01)74.95% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 46.63%
    Perugia 26.12%
    Draw 27.23%
CagliariDrawPerugia
1-0 @ 13.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.077 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.092 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.47% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 46.63%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 26.12%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2022 4.45pm
First Round
Cagliari
3-2
Perugia
Altare (2'), Lapadula (80' pen.), Viola (89')
Melchiorri (32'), Di Serio (67')
Iannoni (23'), Righetti (63'), Angori (90+4')