Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Cagliari
37.58% ( -0.18)	27.41% ( -0.01)	35.01% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.97% (

0.06)

56.03% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.89% (

0.05)

77.11% (

-0.05)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

-0.07)

28.8% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

-0.09)

64.65% (

0.1)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

0.16)

30.38% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

0.19)

66.57% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Palermo 37.58%

Cagliari 35.01%

Draw 27.4%

Palermo	Draw	Cagliari
1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.58%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.01%