Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Reggina win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Reggina
36.49% ( 1.13)	29.66% ( 0.78)	33.85% ( -1.91)

Both teams to score 43% (

-2.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.94% (

-2.64)

64.06% (

2.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.78% (

-1.92)

83.22% (

1.92)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.47% (

-0.64)

33.53% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.83% (

-0.7)

70.17% (

0.71)

Reggina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

-2.68)

35.32% (

2.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

-2.9)

72.08% (

2.9)

Score Analysis

Palermo 36.49%

Reggina 33.84%

Draw 29.65%

Palermo	Draw	Reggina
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 1) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.49%	1-1 @ 13.46% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 1.11) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.65%	0-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.11% Total : 33.84%