Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Modena had a probability of 17.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Modena
59.08% ( -0.03)	23.33% ( 0)	17.59% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.64% (

0.03)

52.36% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

0.02)

74.04% (

-0.02)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.57%

17.43% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.12% (

-0)

47.88% (

0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.51% (

0.05)

43.5% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.29% (

0.04)

79.71% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 59.07%

Modena 17.59%

Draw 23.32%

Frosinone	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 13.24% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 59.07%	1-1 @ 11.02% 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.32%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 17.59%