Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
0 - 2
Modena

FT(HT: 0-1)
Magnino (22'), Armellino (81')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 0-2 Sudtirol
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Benevento
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
SudtirolDrawModena
41.14% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.26% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)30.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.04% (0.088000000000001 0.09)59.96% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.79% (0.065000000000001 0.07)80.2% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (0.052999999999997 0.05)28.65% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (0.068999999999996 0.07)64.46% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.54% (0.046999999999997 0.05)35.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.77% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.23% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sudtirol 41.14%
    Modena 30.59%
    Draw 28.25%
SudtirolDrawModena
1-0 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.16% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 30.59%