Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Benevento
37.57% ( 0.01)	26.15% ( -0.17)	36.28% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 53.73% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.18% (

0.74)

50.81% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

0.65)

72.7% (

-0.65)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

0.36)

26.33% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53% (

0.47)

61.47% (

-0.47)

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

0.45)

27.07% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.58)

62.44% (

-0.58)

Score Analysis

Modena 37.57%

Benevento 36.28%

Draw 26.14%

Modena	Draw	Benevento
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.57%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.28%