Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ternana would win this match.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Modena
44.25% ( 0.02)	26.43% ( 0.01)	29.32% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.75% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.31% (

-0.03)

53.69% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82% (

-0.03)

75.18% (

0.03)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.87% (

-0)

24.13% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

-0.01)

58.44% (

0.01)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.89% (

-0.04)

33.11% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.3% (

-0.04)

69.7% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Ternana 44.25%

Modena 29.32%

Draw 26.42%

Ternana	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.32%