Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.