Cagliari logo
Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2022 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
2 - 0
Cosenza

Lapadula (65'), Lella (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Cosenza Calcio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palermo 2-1 Cagliari
Sunday, December 18 at 5.45pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cosenza 1-3 Ascoli
Sunday, December 18 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 60.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 16.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.94%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawCosenza Calcio
60.78% (5.187 5.19)22.76% (-1.54 -1.54)16.46% (-3.644 -3.64)
Both teams to score 46.14% (-1.842 -1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (0.91 0.91)51.88% (-0.907 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (0.782 0.78)73.63% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (2.215 2.22)16.66% (-2.211 -2.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.48% (3.825 3.83)46.52% (-3.822 -3.82)
Cosenza Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.37% (-3.78 -3.78)44.63% (3.785 3.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.36% (-3.218 -3.22)80.64% (3.221 3.22)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 60.77%
    Cosenza Calcio 16.46%
    Draw 22.76%
CagliariDrawCosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.47 0.47)
2-0 @ 11.94% (1.23 1.23)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.13% (1.176 1.18)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.421 0.42)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.712 0.71)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.355 0.36)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.317 0.32)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.045 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.183 0.18)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 60.77%
1-1 @ 10.75% (-0.75 -0.75)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.41 -0.41)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.76%
0-1 @ 6% (-0.902 -0.9)
1-2 @ 4.34% (-0.815 -0.82)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.67 -0.67)
1-3 @ 1.17% (-0.372 -0.37)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 16.46%

rhs 2.0


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