Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2023 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
  • Davide Diaw 25' goal
  • Nicholas Bonfanti 83' goal

Modena vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Jan 28, 2023 1.00pm
Ternana 2 - 1 Modena
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Davide Diaw

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2023 7.30pm
Cagliari 2 - 1 SPAL
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gianluca Lapadula

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result

Modena 40.07% (-0.47)
Draw 26.08% (+0.02)
Cagliari 33.84% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.62% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.2% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.8% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.31% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.69% (-0.03)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 75.03% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 24.96% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 40.39% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 59.6% (+0.32)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 71.46% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 28.54% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 35.67% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 64.32% (-0.38)

Score analysis

Modena 40.07%
Draw 26.07%
Cagliari 33.84%
Modena
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
Cagliari
0-1 @ 8.93% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.77% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.6% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.25% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.34% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-98.29)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.84%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Marko Rog 28' goal
  • Marko Rog 64' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Lapadula 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shady Oukhadda 57'
  • yellowcard Luca Magnino 61'
Coppa Italia
Dec 4, 2014 5.00pm
4
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daniele Conti 59' goal
  • Daniele Conti 76' yellowcard
  • Samuele Longo 93' goal
  • Samuele Longo 100' goal
  • Nicola Murru 108' yellowcard
  • Diego Farias 119' goal
  • goal Alessio Cragno 6' (OG)
  • yellowcard Niccolo Manfredini 59'
  • goal Davide Luppi 68'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Martinelli 93'
  • goal Pablo Mariano Granoche 98'
  • goal Pablo Mariano Granoche 109'