Serie B | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Cagliari logo

Modena
2 - 0
Cagliari

Diaw (25' pen.), Bonfanti (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Cagliari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Ternana 2-1 Modena
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 SPAL
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
ModenaDrawCagliari
40.07% (-0.464 -0.46)26.08% (0.014000000000003 0.01)33.84% (0.444 0.44)
Both teams to score 53.62% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.8% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31% (0.02 0.02)72.69% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)24.96% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.322 -0.32)59.6% (0.318 0.32)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.294 0.29)28.54% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.366 0.37)64.32% (-0.371 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Modena 40.07%
    Cagliari 33.84%
    Draw 26.07%
ModenaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 40.07%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.6% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.056 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.84%

How you voted: Modena vs Cagliari

Modena
57.1%
Draw
14.3%
Cagliari
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Cagliari
1-0
Modena
Rog (28')
Rog (64'), Lapadula (68')

Oukhadda (57'), Magnino (61')
Dec 4, 2014 5pm
Round Four
Cagliari
4-4
Modena
 Cagliari win 5-4 on penalties
Conti (59' pen.), Longo (93', 100'), Farias (119')
Conti (76'), Murru (108')
Cragno (6' og.), Luppi (68'), Mariano Granoche (98', 109')
Manfredini (59'), Martinelli (93')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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