Cagliari logo
Serie B | Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
SPAL logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
SPAL

Altare (15'), Lapadula (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Celia (42')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and SPAL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Cagliari
Saturday, January 21 at 3.15pm in Serie B

SPAL

All competitions
Last Game: SPAL 1-1 Ascoli
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSPAL
48.77% (-0.055 -0.05)25.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.71% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.76% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)52.24% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)73.95% (0.023999999999987 0.02)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)21.44% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)54.45% (0.055 0.05)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)35.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.022000000000002 0.02)71.95% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 48.77%
    SPAL 25.71%
    Draw 25.52%
CagliariDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 48.77%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.71%

How you voted: Cagliari vs SPAL

Cagliari
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
SPAL
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
SPAL
1-0
Cagliari
La Mantia (37')
Tripaldelli (51'), Peda (72'), Murgia (90+2')
Peda (80')

Goldaniga (52'), Millico (85'), Pavoletti (90+7')
Di Pardo (31')
Jun 23, 2020 6.30pm
SPAL
0-1
Cagliari
Jun 23, 2020 6.30pm
SPAL
0-1
Cagliari
Oct 20, 2019 2pm
Cagliari
2-0
SPAL
Nainggolan (9'), Farago (67')
Simeone (57'), Nainggolan (69'), Pellegrini (83'), Rog (89')

Missiroli (47'), Tomovic (54'), Julio (60'), Cionek (90'), Valoti (93')
Apr 7, 2019 2pm
Cagliari
2-1
SPAL
Farago (3'), Pavoletti (60')
Ceppitelli (18'), Cigarini (31'), Pavoletti (68'), Cacciatore (90')
Antenucci (18' pen.)
Dickmann (25'), Felipe (56'), Fares (59')