Serie B Gameweek 22
Jan 27, 2023 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Giorgio Altare 15' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 76' goal
  • goal Raffaele Celia 42'

Cagliari vs SPAL - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 3.15pm
Cittadella 0 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Gianluca Lapadula

SPAL

All competitions
Last game
Jan 21, 2023 1.00pm
SPAL 1 - 1 Ascoli
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gabriele Moncini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result

Cagliari 48.77% (-0.06)
Draw 25.52% (+0.02)
SPAL 25.71% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.91% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.76% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 52.24% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 26.05% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 73.95% (+0.03)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 78.56% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.44% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 45.55% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 54.45% (+0.06)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5 64.8% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.2% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.05% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.95% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cagliari 48.77%
Draw 25.52%
SPAL 25.71%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.95% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 48.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.52%
SPAL
0-1 @ 7.88% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.34% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 25.71%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza
  • Andrea La Mantia 37' goal
  • Alessandro Tripaldelli 51' yellowcard
  • Patryk Peda 72' yellowcard
  • Patryk Peda 80' redcard
  • Alessandro Murgia 90'+2' yellowcard
  • redcard Alessandro Di Pardo 31'
  • yellowcard Edoardo Goldaniga 52'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Millico 85'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pavoletti 90'+7'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Jun 23, 2020 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza
  • Espeto 11' yellowcard
  • Kevin Bonifazi 45' yellowcard
  • Mirko Valdifiori 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Artur Ionita 13'
  • yellowcard Nahitan Nandez 37'
  • yellowcard Marko Rog 40'
  • goal Giovanni Simeone 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2019 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena (Cagliari)
  • Radja Nainggolan 9' goal
  • Giovanni Simeone 57' yellowcard
  • Paolo Farago 67' goal
  • Radja Nainggolan 69' yellowcard
  • Luca Pellegrini 83' yellowcard
  • Marko Rog 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Simone Missiroli 47'
  • yellowcard Nenad Tomovic 54'
  • yellowcard Igor Julio 60'
  • yellowcard Thiago Cionek 90'
  • yellowcard Mattia Valoti 93'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2019 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Sardegna Arena (Cagliari)
  • Paolo Farago 3' goal
  • Luca Ceppitelli 18' yellowcard
  • Luca Cigarini 31' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 60' goal
  • Leonardo Pavoletti 68' yellowcard
  • Fabrizio Cacciatore 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mirco Antenucci 18'
  • yellowcard Lorenzo Dickmann 25'
  • yellowcard Felipe 56'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Fares 59'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2018 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)
  • Andrea Petagna 3' goal
  • Mirko Valdifiori 34' yellowcard
  • Felipe 43' yellowcard
  • Mirco Antenucci 71' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 8'
  • yellowcard Lucas Castro 17'
  • goal Leonardo Pavoletti 73'
  • goal Artur Ionita 76'
  • yellowcard Marco Sau 90'
  • yellowcard Artur Ionita 90'
Serie A
Feb 4, 2018 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luca Cigarini 9' yellowcard
  • Nicolo Barella 17' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 25' yellowcard
  • Luca Cigarini 34' goal
  • Marco Sau 78' goal
  • Marco Sau 85' yellowcard
  • Leandro Castan 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Federico Mattiello 8'
  • yellowcard Francesco Vicari 58'