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Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
0 - 1
Modena

FT(HT: 0-0)
Falcinelli (79' pen.)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Perugia 4-0 Brescia
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 2-0 Cagliari
Friday, February 3 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawModena
46.7% (-0.012 -0.01)25.97%27.34% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (0.012 0.01)52.92% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.48% (0.010999999999999 0.01)74.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.64% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.73% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)56.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)34.23% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (0.018000000000001 0.02)70.93% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 46.7%
    Modena 27.34%
    Draw 25.97%
BresciaDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.69%
4-0 @ 1.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.7%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.31%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.34%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 2pm
Modena
1-3
Brescia
Bonfanti (18')
Panada (50')
Aye (24'), Moreo (61'), Bianchi (90+9' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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