Perugia logo
Serie B | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi
Brescia logo

Perugia
4 - 0
Brescia

Santoro (40'), Casasola (48' pen.), Kouan (52'), Angella (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Brescia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perugia

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 0-2 Perugia
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 0-1 Como
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 37%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.

Result
PerugiaDrawBrescia
37% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)28.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)34.97% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.6% (0.015999999999998 0.02)58.39% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21% (0.010999999999999 0.01)79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)30.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.5% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)66.49% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (0.061999999999998 0.06)31.59% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (0.071999999999999 0.07)68% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Perugia 37%
    Brescia 34.96%
    Draw 28.03%
PerugiaDrawBrescia
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 37%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.58% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0029999999999992 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.59% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.36% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.96%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 1pm
Brescia
2-1
Perugia
Galazzi (5'), Aye (13')
Adorni (45+1'), Labojko (61'), Jallow (71'), Viviani (78')
Luperini (35')
Curado (4'), Melchiorri (81')
May 14, 2022 5pm
Brescia
3-2
Perugia
Pajac (45+6' pen.), Aye (107'), Bianchi (118')
Tramoni (23'), Adorni (30'), Moreo (90+1'), Proia (90+3')
Kouan (10'), Matos (102')
Dell'Orco (40'), Burrai (45+4'), Lisi (107')
Mar 1, 2022 5.30pm
Brescia
2-1
Perugia
Bianchi (81'), Palacio (84')
Adorni (44'), Pajac (90+3')
De Luca (28')
Ferrarini (18')
Ferrarini (30')
Oct 16, 2021 3.15pm
Perugia
1-0
Brescia
De Luca (25' pen.)
Matos (2'), Falzerano (45'), Dell'Orco (71'), Lisi (90+2')

van de Looi (48'), Mateju (50'), Bajic (74')
Aug 18, 2019 5pm
Third Round
Perugia
2-1
Brescia
Melchiorri (90'), Buonaiuto (98')
Iemmello (31'), Carraro (78'), Melchiorri (94'), Dragomir (107')
Rosi (119')
Donnarumma (43')
Bisoli (70')