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Serie B | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
0 - 1
Como

FT(HT: 0-0)
Baselli (60')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Como.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 1-3 Frosinone
Sunday, January 22 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Como 2-2 Pisa
Saturday, January 21 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Como had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
BresciaDrawComo
52.93% (0.203 0.2)24.22% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)22.84% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 51.88% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.203 0.2)49.48% (-0.202 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.48% (0.181 0.18)71.52% (-0.18199999999999 -0.18)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.155 0.16)18.64% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.04% (0.26 0.26)49.95% (-0.261 -0.26)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)36.23% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 52.93%
    Como 22.84%
    Draw 24.21%
BresciaDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.34% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.53% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.93%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.84%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 7.45pm
Como
0-1
Brescia

Arrigoni (41'), Mancuso (71')
Arrigoni (44')
Bertagnoli (45')
Mangraviti (21')
Feb 26, 2022 1.05pm
Como
1-1
Brescia
Cerri (12')
Parigini (45+4'), Arrigoni (54')
Aye (71')
Adorni (18'), Proia (45+4'), Mangraviti (53'), Papetti (90+5')
Oct 3, 2021 1pm
Brescia
2-4
Como
Palacio (45'), Bajic (84')
Palacio (37'), Karacic (86')
Karacic (90+1')
Cerri (14'), La Gumina (47'), Bellemo (89'), Gliozzi (90+4' pen.)
Varnier (34'), La Gumina (47')