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Serie B | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
1 - 1
Como

La Mantia (6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gabrielloni (38')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Como.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions
Last Game: Venezia 2-1 SPAL
Saturday, February 11 at 1pm in Serie B

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-1 Como
Saturday, February 11 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Como had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawComo
48.24% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)25.3% (0.013999999999999 0.01)26.46% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.18% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)50.82% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)72.7% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)21.08% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.1% (-0.058 -0.06)53.9% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.036000000000001 0.04)33.81% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.038 0.04)70.48% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    SPAL 48.23%
    Como 26.46%
    Draw 25.3%
SPALDrawComo
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 48.23%
1-1 @ 12.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.73% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.19% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 26.46%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 1pm
Como
3-3
SPAL
Cutrone (12', 46'), Ioannou (72')
Cutrone (18')
Maistro (8'), Moncini (59'), Esposito (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 1pm
Como
0-2
SPAL
Vido (32'), Melchiorri (71')
Colombo (53'), Meccariello (68')
Oct 24, 2021 7.30pm
SPAL
1-1
Como
Vignali (76' og.)
Gliozzi (2')
Bellemo (34'), Vignali (54'), Scaglia (78'), Kabashi (80')