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Serie B | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
3 - 4
Bari

Moncini (62'), Nainggolan (81'), Celia (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Folorunsho (20'), Esposito (26'), Cheddira (56'), Antenucci (67')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 SPAL
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Bari 0-2 Perugia
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Bari had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawBari
40.23% (0.088000000000001 0.09)28.2% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)31.57% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.55% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.51% (0.046999999999997 0.05)59.48% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.16% (0.037000000000003 0.04)79.84% (-0.035000000000011 -0.04)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (0.073000000000008 0.07)28.93% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (0.091999999999999 0.09)64.82% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.5% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)34.49% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)71.21% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    SPAL 40.23%
    Bari 31.56%
    Draw 28.19%
SPALDrawBari
1-0 @ 12.37%
2-1 @ 8.17% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.68% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 31.56%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 1pm
Bari
2-2
SPAL
Cheddira (4'), Antenucci (45+2')
Maita (35'), Bellomo (47')
La Mantia (63'), Rabbi (69')
Dalle Mura (12'), Dickmann (44'), Meccariello (55')